Measurement of inflation using the Consumer Prices Index (CPI)

Measurement of Inflation using the Consumer Prices Index (CPI)

Objective 📈

Understand how the CPI is used to measure inflation and how to calculate the inflation rate from CPI values.

What is the CPI? 🔍

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) is a statistical measure that shows how the price of a fixed basket of goods and services changes over time. Think of it as a “price tag” on a favourite snack that keeps rising as the cost of ingredients goes up.

CPI Formula

The CPI for a given year is calculated as:

$$\text{CPI} = \frac{\text{Cost of basket in current year}}{\text{Cost of basket in base year}} \times 100$$

Base year is the year chosen as the reference (usually 100). • Current year is the year you are measuring.

Calculating the Inflation Rate

The inflation rate between two consecutive years is:

$$\text{Inflation Rate (\%)} = \frac{\text{CPI}_{\text{current}} - \text{CPI}_{\text{previous}}}{\text{CPI}_{\text{previous}}} \times 100$$

It tells you how much prices have increased (or decreased) in percentage terms.

Example: A Simple Basket

Suppose the government uses a basket of 5 items. Prices in the base year (2015) and current year (2020) are:

Item Base Year (2015) Price (£) Current Year (2020) Price (£)
Bread (500g) 0.80 1.00
Milk (1L) 0.60 0.75
Eggs (12) 1.20 1.50
Rice (1kg) 0.70 0.90
Cereal (500g) 1.00 1.30

Total cost in 2015: £4.30 Total cost in 2020: £5.45

Now calculate CPI for 2020 (base year 2015 = 100):

$$\text{CPI}_{2020} = \frac{5.45}{4.30} \times 100 \approx 126.74$$

Inflation rate from 2015 to 2020:

$$\text{Inflation} = \frac{126.74 - 100}{100} \times 100 \approx 26.74\%$$

So, on average, prices rose by about 27% over those five years.

Exam Tips & Tricks 📝

  • Always state the base year when giving a CPI value.
  • Show the formula clearly; teachers love when you write it out.
  • Use a simple example (like the basket above) to demonstrate calculations.
  • Remember: CPI > 100 means inflation; CPI < 100 means deflation.
  • When asked for the inflation rate, use the percentage change formula.

Quick Check ??

If the CPI in 2021 is 130, what is the inflation rate from 2020 (126.74) to 2021?

Answer: $$\frac{130 - 126.74}{126.74} \times 100 \approx 2.57\%$$

Revision

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